Joe Biden leads Donald Trump, Will the businessman be in the first office again?

WASHINGTON (07-Aug-2020) Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has a 3.7-point lead over Donald Trump, and a state like Florida with 29 electoral votes is in the hands of Republicans. The same state that reversed in favor of Trump in 2016 has also joined the swing states, this time the state of Texas, which is considered the red state, has 38 electoral votes. The state of Ohio has always been a swing state with 18 electoral votes. In the last election, Ohio cast its electoral vote in favor of Trump, but this time around, Ohio's stance looks different.

At the moment, 117 votes from nine swing states are crucial, and the two parties are vying for the electoral votes. According to opinion polls, Biden has 194 confirmed and 114 possible electoral votes, while Trump has 80 confirmed and 33 possible votes. While 117 electoral votes are from swing states, out of a total of 580 electoral votes, Biden is expected to get 308 while Trump is expected to get 113 electoral votes.

According to the US Constitution, only the person who gets 270 or more votes out of 580 electoral votes sits in the presidency of the most powerful country in the world. However, like in 2016, the swing states will play the most important role if the Democrats confirm their 114 possible votes. If they succeed in converting the votes, it will be difficult for Trump to reach the Oval Office again even after getting all the votes of the swing states.

Democrats have fielded key figures in their campaign, including former President Barack Obama, former First Lady Michelle Obama, former US President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, as well as former governors, mayors, members of the Senate and Congress. Democrats are also supported by key figures and organizations working for human rights, women's rights, minority rights, and the rights of refugees and asylum seekers.

President Trump's tough decisions, confrontation with state institutions, incitement to white extremism have been widely criticized. At the start of the 2016 election campaign, Donald Trump was considered a frivolous candidate, targeting the country's elite and He continued to present you as an anti-elite candidate of the country, but after assuming the presidency, he benefited the elite the most, of which he was a critic. After 4 years, he has once again declared himself an anti-elite candidate. Whether or not his "magic" will work will be decided on November 3, but public opinion polls are troubling for him in terms of popularity as he is trailing his opponent in the next presidential election, Biden.

Black Latin American and other minority organizations are waging a large-scale anti-Trump campaign that will have far-reaching effects. In addition, older people who vote more than young people are also affected by President Trump's four-year policies and actions. There is strong resentment because the Trump administration has cut back on Social Security and the many economic benefits available to the elderly, and has made it clear in its policies that it is in favor of eliminating Social Security altogether in the future, as well as older citizens. He has not only limited the number of support programs he receives, but has also increased the age of eligibility in many programs, which makes even older citizens look unhappy with him, and the majority of these elderly voters have always voted for the Republican Party.

In his campaign, Biden is talking about senior citizens, among other things, trying to convince them that they can vote for a liberal party despite being conservative, including Biden's own age and vice president. He has been in US politics since the 1970s. President Trump's election campaign has been plagued by problems, and his current presidency has been plagued by one crisis after another. Is the problem temporary or is his attempt to get re-elected a failure? Donald Trump is a politician whose reaction is often natural. Four years ago, he jumped into the fray. He falsified all expectations and predictions. Proved and first elected his party's presidential candidate and then managed to reach the White House.

Today, it will be easy for President Trump to clearly see how the journey he started in July 2015 ended in his unexpected success in November 2015. During this journey, many controversies, fights and controversial tweets were recorded. There have been other incidents, but experts' estimates have been proven wrong and they are correct. As election day approaches, polling companies are asking the American people which candidate they support.

The national referendum is a good measure to see which candidate is popular across the country, but the national referendum is not a good measure to see who wins the election, for example, Trump in the 2016 Hillary Clinton referendum. And won nearly 3 million more votes than Trump, but still lost because the electoral college system is used in the United States.